Monthly Archives: April 2022
I think it’s time to really get real on what has happened in Ukraine, what is happening, and what might be happening.
Doing so will require a great deal of searching in some weird places. Because we are all consuming some sort of spin, somewhere. Everyone is doing it-NATO, the US, the EU, the UK, The Russian Federation, and of course, Ukraine. It will also require us to be more dispassionate armchair generals, questioning what we think we know constantly, absorbing new information as it arrives. We all have a fan favorite, and we will say just about anything to make our team look good. I certainly would like to believe that Ukraine is going to be able to get Russia the hell out of its territory. It’s an illegal war, and a threat to national sovereignty everywhere. Moreover, it’s a direct challenge to Western democratic hegemony, bringing incredible wealth and control of global food and energy to a nuclear armed country in the midst of a fascist rebirth.
I’ve already talked about what I think is going on in Putin’s head; I don’t think he’s an expansionist on the level of Hitler or Japan or any of the other great powers of yore who tried to seize great swaths of land by brute force. Instead, Putin chooses small wars, like the ones he’s waged in Chechnya and Georgia. This Ukraine war, though, is his biggest gambit yet. According to him, this is a “special military operation”, designed to liberate the breakaway republics of Donetsk and Luhansk. Now what Putin and his generals did to achieve his strategic goals is a matter of intense debate. Most feel that the plan was to invade Ukraine and swallow it whole, and take Kiev. I do not number among these analysts. It’s beyond Russia’s control to hold the entirety of Ukraine with the forces it has. Everyone seems to think that Russian strategists are mentally deficient, and I think that’s a mistake, one that will cost Ukraine greatly in the future. What was done instead was draw Ukrainian forces far, far from the east to face withering attacks from Russia from all sides. Railways and infrastructure were targeted to ensure the Ukrainian forces would not cross the country to join the fight in the east. You mean to tell me that the Russians sent only twenty thousand soldiers to take a city of 3 million? I don’t think so. They are simply not that dumb. But Ukraine sure sent a bunch, and the Russians retreated, again strategically. And no one should believe casualty numbers from anyone. They vary so wildly it’s impossible to see through the fog of war.
It was around this time that Putin declared the first phase of the operation complete; and suddenly the Russians were on the move to the east, with a much easier time pacifying Donbas. But there seems to be more to Russian ambitions, and I believe they were there the whole time. Once the Mariupol obstacle is removed, the land bridge to Crimea is complete. Kherson is under Russian administration. So if that’s basically wrapped up, they run the Sea Of Azov.
But are they done after the land bridge? I don’t think so. What will make all of this worth it is landlocking Ukraine, cutting off its ability to trade with the world. That means Mykolaiv and Odessa are next. Proving my supposition is that suddenly everyone wants to talk about Transnistria, a breakaway area from neighboring Moldova controlled by Russian forces. The Russians can link up there, and pretty much put an end to the special operation and try to sue for peace. Many think that Putin has designs beyond Ukraine. I don’t see a point to that. This has been a major effort for them that they will need to recover from. If Ukraine isn’t interested in the new map, well, there’s going to be a long, ugly insurgency in store for Russia and while millions will die, Russia will have paid for its adventure. Nobody wins this thing.
Rumor has it that Polish troops are on the move to fight those Transnistrian Russian forces, and cross into Ukraine as a peacekeeping force. So there’s clearly going to be some kind of showdown there. Is Odessa going to be a NATO beachhead in Ukraine? Are we going to pour assets in from the west? It’s very possible. It could be an extremely provocative move, one that could be interpreted as NATO directly confronting Russia. And just about everyone agrees that when that happens, the world needs to pay attention and worry a bit more about the third world war popping off for real.
The tip of the spear in the January 6th riot is through. Stewart Rhodes went to court this morning unsuccessfully looking for a delay to his trial, and the leader of the Proud Boys action wing on the 6th, the Ministry of Self Defense, admitted to conspiracy to obstruct an official proceeding and assaulting an officer of the law. He’s looking at seven years, and has pledged to assist the DOJ in other cases.
I hope all you Garland detractors are paying attention. I know most of you are still going to fold your arms, shake your heads and say it is not enough. Well, what can I say? Just chill. You won’t know what’s happening until it happens, and that is a good thing. There’s plenty of people out there watching these cases and interpreting them for you, like Allison Gill (@allisongill), Marcy Wheeler, and Scott McFarlane (@MacFarlaneNews). Be happy about that. You don’t have to be a mushroom. Don’t choose that.
Two things remain possible-that these militias acted of their own volition, or someone hired them to start the insurrection. How about we see who they roll on before we go assuming that Merrick Garland hasn’t got a a handle on things? For me, I seriously doubt they acted on their own. I have come to believe that the insurrection was the last gasp to disrupt and derail the peaceful transfer of power. Once it became clear that Pence was doing his job and the objections were being handled quickly in joint sessions, there was only one play left. Thugs overrunning the seat of government. But we need many threads to be exposed before we reach a conclusion like that. And I believe that with every cooperating convict, we will see those threads. This whole J6 thing could be as insidious as the imagination allows.
Many are clamoring for further investigation of Virginia “Ginni” Thomas and what her role may have been in the January 6th insurrection. They’re ticked off at the J6 committee for not asking her to come in. They think a story has been killed because the “media” moved on.
Well, I hate to disappoint, that’s probably because there’s no “there” there.
Yes, Clarence Thomas made a colossally unethical decision not to recuse himself from a case where his wife’s activities, whatever they may have been, could to come to light. However, Thomas is without a doubt the worst member of the Court, a bootlicker through and through and maybe he just has a shit grasp of the law and is a moral degenerate. Those factors may have contributed him to being the lone dissenter. We shall never know, because we are not and never will be privy to Clarence and Ginni’s pillow talk.
Ugh. That was a gross mental picture.
Moving right along.
Internet sleuths have traced some of Ginni’s past to her involvement in a cult called Lifespring. Here’s some video of a young Ginni, after escaping the abusive group:
It’s my understanding that what cultists really crave is affiliation. And if Ginni Thomas’ history shows anything, it’s that she needed desperately to be affiliated with things. After her time in Lifespring, she got a good education and good jobs, eventually working for the Chamber of Commerce, the US Labor Department, and The Heritage Foundation. She married Clarence during her time at DOL. At Clarence’s hearings, it was brought up that Ginni’s post may have created a potential conflict of interest for him. No matter, he was confirmed despite the circus that surrounded his hearing.
Ginni became a lobbyist for various right-wing causes, again raising her profile and making people nervous about her conflicts of interest with her husband’s job. She found herself working at Charlie Kirk’s Turning Point USA, a known wackadoodle factory of lies and disinformation.
It was then that Ginni joined her next project, Groundswell, ostensibly fighting the evil of progressivism. Ginni would become “the Trump whisperer” in due time, feeding him conspiracies about the “deep state” and recommending who he should hire and fire.
“We all knew that within minutes after Ginni left her meeting with the president, he would start yelling about firing people for being disloyal,” a former senior-level Trump official told The Beast. “When Ginni Thomas showed up, you knew your day was wrecked.”
Cut to 2020. Thomas happily promoted the rally on January 6th, 2021. There was talk of her busing protestors to the rally, which turned out to be false. That would have been Kirk’s group Turning Point. She has told the press that she was in the crowd at the rally but left early because she was cold.
But what’s really got people curious about her involvement is that she texted Mark Meadows like a crazy person after the election and around January 6th. Now Meadows and Thomas are friends outside of work, so maybe commo between them was not all of an incendiary nature. Yet there are many texts that were:
“Help This Great President stand firm, Mark!!! …You are the leader, with him, who is standing for America’s constitutional governance at the precipice,” she wrote in one of the messages to Meadows on Nov. 10, shortly after Biden was projected to defeat Donald Trump. “The majority knows Biden and the Left is attempting the greatest Heist of our History.”
In the messages, Ginni Thomas repeatedly pressed Meadows to reverse the 2020 election results, touting conspiracy theories about voter fraud and right-wing falsehoods about Biden and his family members.
“Do not concede,” she wrote Meadows on Nov. 6, 2020. “It takes time for the army who is gathering for his back.”
November 13: “Sidney Powell & improved coordination now will help the cavalry come and Fraud exposed and America saved.” (Sidney Powell was Mike Flynn’s attorney and a conspiracy theorist pursuing Trump’s bogus voter fraud claims throughout the country. None succeeded.)
November 19: “Sounds like Sidney and her team are getting inundated with evidence of fraud. Make a plan. Release the Kraken and save us from the left taking America down… You guys fold, the evil just moves fast down underneath you all.” (After the election, the far right used “Release the Kraken” as a catchphrase. It referred to the exposure of a massive voter fraud conspiracy that would have the force of a “Kraken”—a mythical giant sea monster.)
November 24: “If you all cave to the elites, you have to know that many of your 73 million feel like what Glenn [Beck] is expressing…”
When Meadows asked what Thomas meant, she answered, “I can’t see Americans swallowing the obvious fraud. Just going with one more thing with no frickin consequences… the whole coup and now this… we just cave to people wanting Biden to be anointed? Many of us can’t continue the GOP charade.”
Describing the effort to overturn the election, Meadows invoked God: “This is a fight of good versus evil. Evil always looks like the victor until the King of Kings triumphs. Do not grow weary in well doing. The fight continues. I have staked my career on it. Well at least my time in DC on it.”
Thomas responded, “Thank you!! Needed that! This plus a conversation with my best friend just now… I will try to keep holding on. America is worth it!”
Her best friend, according to sources, is her husband.
One last text, after the smoke cleared from the 6th.
January 10, 2021: “We are living through what feels like the end of America,” she wrote. “Most of us are disgusted with the VP and are in listening mode to see where to fight with our teams. Those who attacked the Capitol are not representative of our great teams of patriots for DJT!! Amazing times. The end of Liberty.”
She found another cult, the cult of Donald Trump. But do her hysterical texts suggest culpability or planning of J6? It doesn’t sound like she was in the know, as evidenced by the text above. In the end, Ginni Thomas is probably just a well-connected kook who is married to a SCOTUS justice. That’s all. The greater crime in all of this will be if Justice Thomas continues to adjudicate regarding J6 now that it is known that his wife was aware of all the little plots to wrest the election from Biden. Awareness does not equal conspiracy. Were it so, the dragnet in this country would be pretty fucking wide indeed.
The news is moving faster than fuck, and I cannot stay abreast. But two occurrences must be stressed since most of you have been apoplectic over the lack of accountability for obvious coup plotters and the perceived inaction of Merrick Garland.
Everyone needs to calm the fuck down. The J6 committee is doing its job, and so is the Garland DOJ. It’s often misunderstood that when and if Democrats lose the House in November, the J6 committee will be shut down by Republicans. That’s simply not true; it has a self imposed termination date well before the election. It will complete its work and send all findings to the DOJ for review. Equally untrue is that Merrick Garland’s DOJ will cease to exist after the election. I don’t know how some people got this in their head but he’s got at least until January 2025. That is a long time from now, in case you have not noticed.
As I observed a month ago, The J6 committee took a hard bite out of John Eastman’s ass for not turning over a batch of 100 or so emails that he and then-president Trump exchanged. Eastman tried the usual play-that they are protected under privilege. A complaint was filed, and the return from a federal judge was, in most people’s words, “scathing” or “shocking”.
First, with respect to whether Trump tried to obstruct an official proceeding, which is, of course, a crime, Carter concluded it was “more likely than not that President Trump corruptly attempted to obstruct the Joint Session of Congress on January 6, 2021.” As Carter highlights, in our government “leaders are elected, not installed.” And yet Trump tried to “subvert this fundamental principle.” Second, and relatedly, Carter determined that given the evidence, “it is more likely than not that President Trump and Dr. Eastman dishonestly conspired to obstruct the Joint Session of Congress on January 6, 2021.”
Surely all of you realize the gravity of this judge’s opinion. Not only does it order Eastman to cough up the emails, it will be the first time a judge has implicated Donald Trump in criminal activity on January 6th. So, I assume Eastman will try to appeal this, and if he loses again, his pleas may end up at the Supreme Court, where historically, no one on the bench has shown any interest in shielding Trump or abetting him in any way even though he’s appointed 1/3 of it. So somewhere down the road, it seems likely we shall see what Eastman is trying to hide-it could spell the end for Trump. UPDATE 4/6: Eastman took it no further. J6 has the emails.
On a separate track, like a burst of sunspot activity, the Garland DOJ has issued what could be dozens of subpoenas from a grand jury for records on suspected J6 planners, financiers, and conspirators. After quietly nailing an Oathkeeper for knowingly conspiring to overthrow the government by force and getting him to take a plea deal to roll on anybody he could, Garland’s now in overdrive, working on the next level of the puzzle. No one particular individual has been subpoenaed, or charged except for Joshua James.
Many of you have gotten accustomed to the idea that a subpoena is pointless, that it has no consequences. That’s because you’ve probably seen one too many people ignore them from the January 6th committee. But these work different. Failure to cough up documents will land you in jail.
Get used to the idea that Garland is going to keep a poker face on until this is done. Do some reading on the guy. He is the opposite of what you are all thinking. He is not to be trifled with.
UPDATE 4/6: The hydra that is the J6 riot is WAY bigger than any of us think. Hundreds of people could be in the hot seat for this stunt.